December 6, 2022

Tropical Storm Lisa is forecast to become a hurricane in the Caribbean

Tropical Storm Lisa is forecast to become a hurricane in the Caribbean

Tropical Storm Lisa is expected to intensify on Tuesday as it passes south of the Cayman Islands in the western Caribbean, forecasters said, before reaching hurricane status on Wednesday.

A hurricane watch was in effect for the Bay Islands, off the coast of Honduras, and parts of Belize Tuesday morning, with storm-strength tropical winds expected within 48 hours.

A tropical storm warning was also in effect for the Bay Islands and the entire northern coast of Honduras, with worsening weather expected within 36 hours.

The storm was expected to produce three to five inches of rain across the Bay Islands and parts of Belize through Thursday night, and two to four inches across parts of Guatemala, Honduras, Jamaica and the eastern Yucatan Peninsula.

“The rainfall could cause flash floods from northern Honduras north into the eastern Yucatan peninsula,” the hurricane center said.

Lisa formed Monday, becoming the 12th storm of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season. The season, which runs from June through November, It was a relatively quiet startwith only three named storms before September 1 and no storms during August, the first time this has occurred since 1997. Storm activity increased in early September with Daniel And the Earlthat formed within a day of each other. By the end of September, Hurricane Ian hit the Florida coast As a Category 4 hurricane, one of the most powerful storms to hit the United States in the past decade.

In early August, scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Issue updated forecast For the rest of the season, which still requires a higher than normal activity level. In it, they predicted that the season, which runs through November 30, could see 14 to 20 named storms, with six to 10 turning into hurricanes with sustained winds of at least 74 mph. Three to five of these could strengthen what NOAA calls major hurricanes — Category 3 or stronger — with winds of at least 111 mph.

Last year, there were 21 named storms, after Record 30 in 2020. Over the past two years, meteorologists have exhausted the list of names used to identify storms during the Atlantic hurricane season, an event that only occurred back in 2005.

The links between hurricanes and climate change are becoming clearer with each passing year. The data shows that Hurricanes are getting stronger all over the world during the past four decades. A warming planet can expect stronger hurricanes over time, and a higher proportion of the strongest storms—although the total number of storms can decrease, because factors such as stronger wind shear can prevent weaker storms from forming.

Hurricanes have also become wetter due to more water vapor in the warmer atmosphere; Scientists have suggested storms like Hurricane Harvey in 2017 It produced much more rain than it would have had had it not been for human influences on the climate. Also, sea level rise contributes to increased storm surge – the most destructive component of tropical cyclones.

Johnny Diaz And the Chris Stanford Contribute to the preparation of reports.