August 8, 2022

The world's largest asset manager lowered its stock market forecast

The world’s largest asset manager lowered its stock market forecast

Black stone (BLK) she has It lowered its stock outlook Amid rising economic uncertainty and persistent inflation.

Strategists at BlackRock Investment Institute said Monday that the company has reduced its exposure to developed market stocks, citing aggressive intervention by central banks to tame price hikes across the global economy.

“For now, we believe the Fed has cornered itself by responding to political pressures to rein in inflation,” strategists led by Jean Boivin said in a note published on Monday. “Ultimately, the damage to growth and jobs from fighting inflation will become apparent, in our view, and central banks will live with higher inflation.”

black rock Assets under management exceed $10 trillion late last year, making it the world’s largest asset management company.

In a similar comment last month, BlackRock strategists argued that the US central bank’s rate hike campaign was Preparing to disrupt economic growth Without necessarily resolving inflationary pressures. The company said the high core inflation was driven by “unusually low production capacity in incomplete restarts after the pandemic” rather than increased demand.

As a result of its discounted view on stocks, BlackRock also said that traditional 60/40 equity portfolios, and “buy the dip” — or reflexive buying of stocks after a short-term dip — are no longer likely to be effective investment strategies. The company indicated that it boosted its allocation of investment grade credit along with reducing its equity stake.

“We are seeing a new era of volatile inflation and growth sweeping through a period of moderation,” the company said in a commentary on Monday. “We are downgrading the stock and raising the credit level in this new system.”

The revised downward forecast comes just over a week after stocks ended their biggest first-half drop in more than five decades.

The first six months of the year saw the S&P 500 enter a bear market, and this downturn has prompted other big-name Wall Street institutions to scale back the benchmark index’s target price.

A trader works at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, US, June 22, 2022. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

Among the companies that lowered their stock forecasts was Credit Suisse, whose chief US equity strategist Jonathan Gollop lowered his year-end estimate for the S&P 500 index by 600 points to 4,300 in a note to clients on July 5. In the remainder of 2022, the number represents a sharp turnaround from a research report released in December 2021 in which the bank raised its target for the US benchmark. to 5,200 from 5,000, indicating “strong” economic growth.. The S&P 500 capped Friday’s trading session at 3,899.

Even the most bullish strategist on the street is less optimistic.

John Stoltzfuss, chief investment analyst at Oppenheimer Asset Management, on Thursday Year-end price target cut on the S&P 500 to 4800 from 5330. Before the change, Stoltzfus held its highest year-end price target on Wall Street strategists tracked by Yahoo Finance, until they recently repeated the call on June 21.

Meanwhile, Citigroup (c) Strategist Scott Kronert said in a note to clients on Monday that he sees the S&P 500 muster about 8% of current levels To end the year at 4200.

“We have downgraded most developed market stocks to tactical shortfalls,” BlackRock said, attributing the rating downgrade to increased overall volatility as “central banks seem intent on reining in inflation by crushing growth.”

However, the institution reiterated that it preferred stocks over long-term bonds with higher yields and upward inflation trends.

“We think central banks will live with high inflation, pause and then revamp their price hikes – a boon for equities,” said the strategists.

Alexandra Semenova is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter Tweet embed

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