October 5, 2022

Oil drops as China data weighs

Oil drops as China data weighs

FILE PHOTO – A pump crane surrounded by steam is seen during sunset at PetroChina’s oil field in Karamay, Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, January 5, 2011. REUTERS/Stringer

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  • Data show that China’s refinery production in July is the lowest since March 2020
  • The strength of the US dollar and the decrease in liquidity pressure on prices
  • Next: Iran responds to EU nuclear text on Monday

LONDON (Reuters) – Oil prices fell more than $4 a barrel on Monday amid concerns about demand as disappointing Chinese economic data revived fears of a global recession.

Brent crude futures fell $4.35, or 4.43 percent, to $93.80 a barrel by 1351 GMT, after settling down 1.5 percent on Friday.

US West Texas Intermediate crude fell $4.23, or 4.59%, to $87.86, after falling 2.4% in the previous session.

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Brent crude futures approached their lowest levels since before Russia sent troops to Ukraine on February 24, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures touched their lowest levels on Monday since early February.

Open interest for Brent crude this month is down 20% from August last year.

“Open interest is still declining, with some (market players) not interested in touching it due to volatility. This is, in my view, the reason for the low volume,” said Giovanni Stonovo, oil analyst at UBS. Weak Chinese data was the catalyst for the decline on Monday.

The central bank of China, the world’s largest importer of crude, cut lending rates to revive demand as data showed the economy slowed unexpectedly in July, with factory and retail activity slashed by Beijing’s coronavirus-free policy and the real estate crisis. Read more

Government data showed that refinery production in the country fell to 12.53 million barrels per day, the lowest level since March 2020. Read more

ING cut its forecast for China’s GDP growth in 2022 to 4%, down from a previous forecast of 4.4%, warning that the rating downgrade could be further downgraded.

us dollar index,

Oil is generally priced in US dollars, so a strong dollar makes the commodity more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Talks to revive the 2015 Iran nuclear deal were also in focus on Monday. Analysts said oil supplies could rise if Iran and the United States accepted an offer from the European Union to lift sanctions on Iranian oil exports. Read more

Its foreign minister said Iran would respond by midnight on Monday to the European Union’s “final” draft text to save the 2015 nuclear deal, calling on the United States to show flexibility to resolve three remaining issues. Read more

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(Reporting by Rowena Edwards) Additional reporting by Florence Tan in Singapore Editing by David Goodman and Kirsten Donovan

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