Covid-19 now killed as many Americans as the 1918-19 Spanish flu epidemic — approximately 675,000.
Only a third of the American population today, a century ago, was affected by the flu, which is the largest and deadliest disease in the country. But the Covit-19 Crisis The greatest tragedy of any scale is its own, especially the incredible advances in scientific knowledge and its failure to reap its maximum benefits. Vaccines Get this method.
“The big pockets of American society – and, moreover, their leaders – have thrown this away,” said Dr. John H. Snyder, a medical historian at the University of Michigan.
Like the Spanish flu, the corona virus will not completely disappear from our midst. Instead, scientists hope it will become a mild seasonal bug as the human immune system is strengthened by vaccination and repeated infections. That may take time. “We hope it looks like a cold, but there is no guarantee,” said Emory University biologist Rustam Andia, suggesting a hopeful situation that could happen in a few years.
For now, the epidemic is firmly entrenched in the United States and other parts of the world.
When Johns Hopkins UniversityThe actual number is believed to be higher.Infections may have peaked, with U.S. deaths averaging more than 1,900 a day, the highest level since the beginning of March, and the country’s total reached 675,000 on Monday.
Winter could bring a new upsurge, with an influential model from the University of Washington adding 100,000 or so Americans will die of Govt-19 disease by January 1, bringing the overall U.S. population to 776,000.
The 1918-19 influenza pandemic killed 50 million people worldwide. Worldwide deaths from COVID-19 are now over 4.6 million.
The U.S. death toll from Spanish flu is a rough estimate, with incomplete records of the era and a misguided scientific understanding of what caused the disease. The 675,000 count Comes from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
If the virus gradually weakens as it changes and more and more human immune systems learn to attack it, Covit-19 can be destroyed. Vaccination and survival infection are important ways to improve the immune system. Breastfed babies also get some immunity from their mother.
In that optimistic situation, school students will get a mild illness that trains their immune system. As they grow, children carry the immune response memory, so as they age and become infected, the corona virus is no more dangerous than the cold virus.
The same goes for today’s vaccine teens: their immune system is strengthened by shots and mild infections.
“We will all suffer,” Andrea predicted. “The important thing is whether the infections are severe.”
A similar thing happened with the H1N1 flu virus, the culprit of the 1918-19 epidemic. It met many people with immunity, and it was weakened by mutation. H1N1 is still prevalent today, but immunity gained through infection and vaccination has been successful.
Getting the annual flu vaccine now protects against H1N1 and many other flu. Of course, the flu kills 12,000 to 61,000 Americans each year, but on average, it is a seasonal problem and something manageable.
Prior to COVID-19, 1918-19 was considered the worst pandemic in human history. It is not clear whether the current atrocity ultimately proves to be deadly.
In many ways, the 1918-19 flu was mistakenly named the Spanish flu because it first received widespread news coverage in Spain — the worst. Spread by the onslaught of World War I, it killed large numbers of young, healthy adults. There is no vaccine to reduce it and no antibiotics to treat secondary bacterial infections. And, of course, the world was very small.
But stillMass migration threatens to increase the number of current epidemics. Most of the world is not vaccinated. And the corona virus is full of surprises.
Merkel said she continues to be amazed at the amount of disruption the epidemic has brought to the planet. “The level of isolation amazed me,” the Chinese government initially said, with Markle saying, “then I was hit with a Cope-Cope-Cope-End degree.” The lagging speed of American vaccines is the latest proof of his surprise.
Less than 64% of the U.S. population has received at least one dose of the vaccine, with state rates dropping as high as 77% in Vermont and Massachusetts to 46% to 49% in Idaho, Wyoming, West Virginia and Mississippi. . Worldwide, approx 43% of the population According to our World in Data, at least one dose has been received and some African countries have started giving their first shots.
“We know all infections are coming to an end,” said Dr. Jeremy Brown, director of emergency research at the National Institutes of Health, who wrote a book on influenza. “They can do terrible things when they get angry.”
“If more people had been vaccinated faster, Covit-19 would have been much less dangerous in the United States,” Brown said, adding that “we still have a chance to turn it around.” “We often lose sight of how lucky we are to take these things for granted.”
Current vaccines are by far the most effective in preventing acute illness and death from the virus variants that have appeared so far.
It is important for scientists to make sure that the virus does not change forever enough to avoid vaccines or cause serious illness in unvaccinated children, Andy said. If the virus changes significantly, a new vaccine could be made in 110 days using the technology behind the Pfizer and Modern shots, Pfizer executives said Wednesday. The company is researching whether annual shots are needed with the current vaccine to keep the immune system high.
One Plus: Corona virus changes more slowly than flu viruses, making it a more consistent target for vaccination, said Ann Marie Kimball, a retired professor of epidemiology in Washington.
So, will the current epidemic make the 1918-19 flu epidemic the worst in human history?
“You want to say no. We have more infection control, more capacity to support sick people. We have modern medicine,” Kimball said. “But we have more people and more movement. … Fear is coming a new strain around a specific vaccine target.”
For people who have not been vaccinated who think the infection is better than the immunizations, Kimball said, “The problem is, you have to escape the infection to get immunity.” She said it was easy to go to the drugstore and shoot.
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